U.S.-Iran hostilities send BTC price lower even as ETF flows show demand: Crypto Daily

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Bitcoin is hovering near $63,000 after falling more than 1% since midnight UTC amid a wider wave of risk-off sentiment following the U.S. and Iran mutual airstrikes over the weekend.

Brent crude futures rose more than 3% to approach $79 a barrel as the renewed fighting raised concerns over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil passageway. Higher energy prices add inflationary pressure and reduce the scope for easier monetary policy, a link that weighed on bitcoin during earlier oil shocks .

"This week, crypto markets will experience a 'tug-of-war' between macro and geopolitics," Taran Dhillon, head of digital assets at Kula, told CoinDesk.

U.S. inflation data coming this week will shape interest-rate expectations, Dhillon said.

Still, spot bitcoin and ether ETFs just broke eight-week streaks of outflows, a sign of growing demand for the two largest cryptocurrencies.

Regulatory clarity may add further tailwinds, Dhillon noted, as the Clarity Act advances. While ethics provisions are still being discussed, "even incremental progress matters," he said.

"Markets have been pricing in regulatory uncertainty for years; every step toward clarity on how digital assets are classified and overseen reduces that discount and makes the asset class easier for institutional capital to underwrite," Dhillon added.

Traders will be watching Tuesday's CPI release and Wednesday’s PPI for signals on the Federal Reserve’s next move. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today's activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk's " Crypto Week Ahead ."

The chart shows bitcoin's price in weekly candles for several years.

While the price has bounced off the support level near $58,000 — the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — it remains within a broader downtrend of lower highs.

The largest cryptocurrency is currently trading around $63,000, with key resistance levels to watch on the upside at $66,000 and $68,900.

RSI sits at ~38, weak but with no meaningful divergence to flag a trend reversal.

CEX trading volumes rose for the first time in five months in June, with spot climbing 15.3% to $1.11T and RWA perpetual volumes surging to a record $311B.

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